When it comes to sports betting, the NBA is a conference that is not to be belittled. It offers a lot of golden opportunities to make your money.
Due to the non-stop action happening right now in NBA, there are also very drastic changes that keep you from making the right bet.
However, there is a way to predict even the most significant changes in the NBA. So in this article, we’ll discuss the five tips you should know before you start betting on the NBA.
Making Use of the Fatigue Factor
It’s only natural to get tired after a match and players will always need to get some rest. However, this doesn’t always happen as they need to play a lot of games after the previous one. You should make use of this factor also called “fatigue factor” where teams aren’t getting enough and it affects their performance negatively.
Focus Only On The Key Statistics
There are many statistics when it comes to NBA betting, but some of them aren’t really that significant and it does little to no changes when you rely on them. You don’t need to rely on them. You should only focus on key statistics which are rebounds, turnovers, and point average.
Manage Your Money Efficiently
There are times when you’ll bet more than you can afford to lose. Just remember that this will affect not only the match you bet on but also your future bets. Make sure that even though you are 99% that a team will win, you only bet less or equal to three per cent of your current bankroll.
The Home Court Advantage
Another factor in addition to the fatigue factor that increases the chances of a team winning and the other loss is the home court advantage. Surely you already know how teams do better in their home court than on the road.With that said, check the schedule of teams and see if they’re playing at home or on the road.
Relish Every Moment
It’s important that you monitor the changes a team is experiencing 24 hours before the actual game. This is because there might’ve been a major injury in place, a player improvement, or some other things that will greatly affect the chance of the team winning, either positively or negatively. This will give you enough data to ensure that you’ll win your bet.
Make sure to apply all of this and not only one, two, or three. In NBA betting, it’s important that you make use everything at your disposal in order to maximize your chances of winning your bets and making profits.
This time, we’ll be listing the top picks for each team and players that have the highest chance of winning, based on technical analysis and data.
The data where this list is derived from is made possible by analyzing the basketball player improvements that each team has undergone. Let’s start with the value picks.
Dwayne Wade is expected to play a major role in the upcoming games. Not only did he improve, but the teamwork of his team did, too.
Kelly Olynyk is also having a great play on his most recent games and is expected to continue this spree. In fact, he is getting pure punts in this massive slate of the game.
Karl-Anthony experienced a concussion recently that disabled him to play two games. However, with his recovery, he is now expected to bring a significant change for his team.
Ben Simmons had only shown up just a couple of days ago and this is great news for his team. He made good on his previous games and surely he’ll do the same in the upcoming matches.
Derick Rose might not be one of the first five, but if Teague is subbed by the team, Rose will get in. If that happens, he will play a major role as he is gaining momentum on his previous games.
While Delon Wright is not exactly the fan favorite for Memphis Grizzlies, but they did the right team acquiring him for the team. He’s currently having a good play and if he plays next, he is likely to do good as well.
The Milwaukee Bucks is not yet finished with their game, although they’re missing some of their games this season. Bledsoe in particularly is anticipated to have a good play due to his great DK PPG of 32.4.
Just like Ben Simmons, Harden is also likely to play The Hawks this upcoming matches and this will surely be an increase in power for the team, especially now that he’s been doing great on his most recent games.
Khris Middleton also possesses a great DK PPG of 33.69 along with Eric Bledsoe in the Milwaukee Bucks. Due to the injury of their opponents, they are likely to do even better on the upcoming match against The Bulls.
It’s already undeniable that LeBron James possesses a great DK points which are 64.75 in his last game against The Pelicans. While it may be different in the upcoming matches, it’s only natural that he can do better than that.
Another great pick is Steph Curry. Besides the fact that he’s a great player overall, he’s also been doing better than normal in his previous games this season.
There are many factors that affect the winning chance of a basketball team. Not only is it affected by the DK points of players, but also how much their fatigue factor is, for example. You can learn about other factors such as the fatigue factor in Basketball BG.
How Important is the Fatigue Factor?
Here’s a familiar scenario:
You haven’t slept for days and you’re going to go to a marathon. There’s no denying that you will not win nor have a winning chance for the least. Now think of yourself as an NBA player. With less rest, you’ll be less effective.
So why am I saying this? There are many cases where NBA teams have to play three to five games in a row out of town. Not only will it be physically tiresome, but it will also be mentally tiring too if they suffer some losses.
That’s why the ability to use the infamous fatigue factor can be the difference whether you’ll win or lose money on your NBA betting.So here are ways to do this.
Monitor NBA Team Schedules
Before you bet on NBA teams, you should figure out how much their fatigue is worth betting on by checking their schedules. You can monitor teams that have less rest than others and bet on their opponents. You can also check well-rested teams and bet on them directly.
As previously mentioned, it could also be mentally tiring for NBA players. For that reason, make sure you check if they won their previous games or not. If they won three games in a row for example, even with little rest, they may have the momentum. If they lost more than they won, however, it’s soul-crushing for them and the lower their chances of winning.
Also, check out their schedule if they’ve been on the road on their previous games. If so, then they’re extra tired, mostly physically as it takes energy to travel around. If they are, however, on their home court for the previous games, the fatigue factor is not as effective.
Don’t Worry About Good Teams
Even the smartest people can be ignorant at times. The same goes for good NBA teams. They tend to disappoint and fail to cover your expectations. Even with a lot of fans cheering for them or how good their coach is, they can still suffer from the infamous fatigue factor.
While it’s true that it might be less effective, it can still affect the performance of a good team negatively if they spend time on the road, with no sleep, and with crushing defeats.
It’s no denying that teams like Golden State Warriors or Chicago Bulls have disappointed you at least once. For all you know, they might have suffered from fatigue factor at that time.
However, don’t forget to rely on technical analysis, too with your betting. Here at Basketball BG, we provide tips on how to properly analyze NBA teams and maximize your odds through solid data and analysis.And with that, feel free to check out more of our content.